What is happening in the market?
- Slower activity in 2024
- Buyers delaying purchasing – waiting for additional interest-rate cuts
Interest rates
- Two years leading up to 2024 saw steadily increasing interest rates.
- In 2024 this trend reversed, with several interest rate cuts.
- It was expected that declining rates would boost buyer activity in Canmore.
- Contrary to expectations, many buyers chose to wait for further reductions before purchasing.
Are Prices Going Up or Down?
- Despite slower buyer activity, the overall average market price has increased by 10% in 2024.
- Due to slower buyer activity, combined with typical seller activity, lead to a longer listing period and higher inventory.
Balanced Market
Good news for Sellers – Price points generally continue to increase, enhancing owners investments.
Good news for Buyers – More properties to choose from and less time and competitive pressure when purchasing.
Who is Buying?
The leading Canmore Buyers are:
- Albertans
- Families with children seeking more space
- Buyers of designated vacation rental properties
- Future retirees acquiring vacation homes to transition into full-time residences upon retirement
Government Policies Affecting Canmore Real Estate
How are new Municipal, Provincial and Federal policies affecting Canmore Buyers and Sellers?
Federally
The Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act is currently in place restricting non-Canadians from purchasing residential property in Canmore. (and many areas of Canada)
- Has had no little to no effect on the Canmore market.
- The number of Non-Canadian purchasers in Canmore is typically low.
- The majority of buyers in Canmore are Albertan, with few from out-of-province.
Provincially
- There’s been an increase in land title registration fees in Alberta.
- The cost to register a new Land Transfer or Mortgage has more than doubled.
- Any increase in the cost to purchase real estate in Canmore can be painful for buyers
That being said:
- Even with more than a twofold fee increase, Alberta’s land title registration fees are still the lowest in Canada
- -In addition, Alberta continues to successfully resist a land transfer tax which can add up to several thousand dollars per transaction.
- Albertans are still protected from this considerable financial burden to purchasers in other provinces.
Municipally
The Town of Canmore has passed a bylaw allowing the implementation of an additional tax tier to be charged to non-permanent home owners at a higher rate.
- Has prompted an emotional response from part-time home owners, to the prospect of a two tier tax system for non-permanent homeowners in Canmore.
- We are not aware of any second homeowners planning to sell their home to avoid a higher tax rate.
The Town of Canmore implemented a new policy that charges the higher Tourist Home tax rate for all Tourist Homes, even if utilised as a full time home. Owners may choose to remove their Tourist Home Designation permanently to avoid paying this higher tax rate, and lose the ability to rent the property short term.
- The prevailing Tourist Home owner’s reaction to date leans towards embracing the grandfather clause and ensuring their homes remain Tourist Homes.
- We have not heard of any owner willing to remove their Tourist Home designation to accomplish the lower tax rate, as market values for Tourist Homes are higher than an equivalent residential home.
What is Expected in the Near Future?
In 2024, the market has remained somewhat subdued. Now with three interest rate cuts this year—the most recent being a full half-point adjustment—an acceleration in activity is expected, likely later in 2024 and potentially in early 2025.