The Canmore market has seen some dramatic shifts in 2020.
The first Covid lockdown in February 2020 resulted in a sharp decline in sales and a 5% correct in prices. However, instead of a continued slowdown when things opened up again, we experienced the opposite, with greatly increased buyers demand and inventory to match.
Now in December 2020, in the midst of a 2nd Covid lockdown, we are looking toward 2021 to anticipate the likely market factors that will affect real estate in the new year.
2021 Outlook
It is expected that we will see a sharp rise in prices in 2021 and 2022 in Canmore. We are unlikely to see a major correction for many years to come.
This is due to several factors.
Overall, almost all factors lead us to believe that the Canmore real estate market will continue to increase in buyers demand and appreciating price point.
The current market in the Bow Valley is active and healthy. The area is minimally affected by the oil and gas woes the rest of the provinces’ real estate markets are experiencing.
For the last couple of years, the market in Canmore and the Bow Valley have been weighted in the seller’s favour, with high buyers demand and low inventory.
In the first week of November 2019 the market continues to be more balanced. There is still high buyers demand, but with increased inventory, buyers have some choice and less pressure to settle on a higher than market price offer. Prices have plateaued over that past year or so, but the number of Days on the Market before a listing sells has decreased significantly.
The entry level and mid-level price points still tend to sell in a timely manner. Some of the higher price points take a bit longer to sell and more conservative pricing tends to be effective.
2019 YTD
Total Market Average:
– Sale Price: $711, 080
– Days on Market: 38
– 393 total sales
2018
Total Market Average:
– Sale Price: $710,858
– DoM: 65
– 478 Total Sales
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Healthy and strong describes the Canmore real estate market in the first quarter of 2017. We have seen solid appreciation since the same time last year, and continued buyers interest. There is somewhat low inventory right now, and desirable properties sell quickly.
We are not seeing a “Hot” market, as there is still some balance. Multiple offers do take place, though the are not the norm and properties may sell above asking price, though only in some instances of multiple offers.
Future retirees are the main buyers market. They are coming mostly from Alberta though we see buyers from Ontario, BC other parts of Canada and some from the US as well, though not as many as one would expect given our low dollar and solid economy in Western Canada.
First time home buyers are buying as well, sometimes with help from parents, which seems an unfortunate necessity, due to the higher entry level pricing in the area.
Tourism has increased significantly in the past few years, creating a higher demand in jobs and a strong Canmore economy. This is expected to continue to increase with targeted efforts from our new Canmore Chamber of Commerce and the newly reformed Canmore Tourism advocacy group.
There is some new development taking place, though on a small scale and will be unlikely to meet the current and future demand for this area with a finite growth foot print.
Contact Jessica Stoner with questions or for more information.
2016 Year in Review Report
If you are looking for a home, condo or vacation property or future retirement residence in Canmore, here’s how to get expert advice by getting in touch with Jessica…
Our market has been quite different from Calgary’s so far. We do have a slight decline in sales, but prices are still appreciating in a healthy way.
For all residential property sales in Canmore:
Jan-Dec 2013 Jan -Dec, 2014 Jan -Nov5, 2015
Sales 418 403 304 (Year-to-Date)
Average Sale$ $607,000 $616,000 $668,000
Days OM 99 74 74
Lower sales in 2015 but increase in price. Inventory and the market in the area is balanced with neither the buyers or sellers being particularly favored.
The first thing that needs to be said about the Canmore real estate market update, for Jan 2015, is that CANMORE IS NOT CALGARY. The media has made it crystal clear that the Calgary real estate market so far in 2015 has seen the effects of the oil price correction swiftly and firmly.
However, Canmore is a completely different market with it’s own supply and demand and it’s own cause and effect factors, that do not necessarily mirror it’s neighbouring cities.
Is it likely the oil prices will affect our Canmore market in some way? Yes, it likely will and we have already seen a minor reduction in sales volume and stabilization of prices as well. Not to the extent of Calgary or Edmonton, as our the majority of our housing market is not based on the Oil and Gas Industry. However, we do have a percentage of our market who makes their living in this industry. This could be a sign of things to come in Canmore. It could also be a temporary adjustment to the market that will correct itself.
All we can do is look at the stats and use common sense when deciding if the sky is falling. Here is one of my favourite quotes from Warren Buffet.
“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”
You can decide what works best for you, but it is clear that now is a time when others are fearful. 😉
Jessica Stoner-REALTOR with RE/MAX Alpine Realty in Canmore is hosting a Canmore Real Estate Market Update Seminar. Designed to update homeowners and potential purchasers in Canmore to the factors affecting the market value of their home, helping owners decide if it is a good time to sell or hang on, as well as coving what a buyer needs to know if planning on a purchase in Canmore, if it is a good time for buyers, and what inventory and new construction is in the plans.
-Global recession and financial crisis
-Canmore flood 2013
-Three Sisters receivership and subsequent purchase
-Various other factors…
-Buying and Selling activity
-Market correction of prices
-Current sale prices and appreciation of the market
-Who is buying?
-What we can expect in the future